The stock of external debt at end-March 2020 as well as revised data for earlier quarters are set out in Statements I (old format) and II (IMF format)1. The major developments relating to India’s external debt as at end-March 2020 are presented below. Highlights -
At end-March 2020, India’s external debt was placed at US$ 558.5 billion, recording an increase of US$ 15.4 billion over its level at end-March 2019 (Table 1). -
Valuation gains due to the appreciation of the US dollar vis-à-vis Indian rupee and other major currencies were placed at US$ 16.6 billion. Excluding the valuation effect, the increase in external debt would have been US$ 32.0 billion instead of US$ 15.4 billion at end-March 2020 over end-March 2019. -
Commercial borrowings remained the largest component of external debt, with a share of 39.4 per cent, followed by non-resident deposits (23.4 per cent) and short-term trade credit (18.2 per cent). -
At end-March 2020, long-term debt (with original maturity of above one year) was placed at US$ 451.7 billion, recording an increase of US$ 17.0 billion over its level at end-March 2019. -
The share of short-term debt (with original maturity of up to one year) in total external debt declined to 19.1 per cent at end-March 2020 from 20.0 per cent at end-March 2019; the ratio of short-term debt (original maturity) to foreign exchange reserves declined to 22.4 per cent at end-March 2020 (26.3 per cent at end-March 2019). -
Short-term debt on residual maturity basis (i.e., debt obligations that include long-term debt by original maturity falling due over the next twelve months and short-term debt by original maturity) constituted 42.4 per cent of total external debt at end-March 2020 (43.4 per cent at end-March 2019) and stood at 49.5 per cent of foreign exchange reserves (57.0 per cent at end-March 2019) (Table 2). -
US dollar denominated debt continued to be the largest component of India’s external debt, with a share of 53.7 per cent at end-March 2020, followed by the Indian rupee (31.9 per cent), yen (5.6 per cent), SDR (4.5 per cent) and the euro (3.5 per cent). -
The borrower-wise classification shows that the outstanding debt of general government decreased, while that of non-government sector increased at end-March 2020 (Table 3). -
The share of outstanding debt of nonfinancial corporations in total external debt was the highest at 42.0 per cent, followed by deposit-taking corporations (except the central bank) (28.3 per cent), general government (18.1 per cent) and other financial corporations (7.5 per cent). -
The instrument-wise classification shows that the loans were the largest component of external debt, with a share of 34.8 per cent, followed by currency and deposits (24.0 per cent), trade credit and advances (18.7 per cent) and debt securities (17.4 per cent). -
Debt service (principal repayments plus interest payments) increased marginally to 6.5 per cent of current receipts at end-March 2020 as compared with 6.4 per cent at end-March 2019, reflecting higher interest payments on commercial borrowings and lower current receipts (Table 4). Table 1: External Debt - Outstanding and Variation | (US$ billion) | Component | Outstanding as at end of March | Absolute variation | Percentage variation | 2018 R | 2019 PR | 2020 P | Mar-19 over Mar-18 | Mar-20 over Mar-19 | Mar-19 over Mar-18 | Mar-20 over Mar-19 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 1. Multilateral | 57.2 | 57.5 | 60.0 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 4.3 | 2. Bilateral | 25.4 | 25.6 | 27.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 3. IMF | 5.8 | 5.5 | 5.4 | -0.3 | -0.1 | -4.5 | -1.7 | 4. Trade Credit | 9.5 | 7.9 | 7.2 | -1.5 | -0.8 | -16.3 | -9.5 | 5. Commercial Borrowings | 201.8 | 206.6 | 220.3 | 4.8 | 13.8 | 2.4 | 6.7 | 6. Non-resident Deposits | 126.2 | 130.4 | 130.6 | 4.2 | 0.2 | 3.4 | 0.1 | 7. Rupee Debt | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -4.5 | -11.7 | 8. Short-term Debt | 102.2 | 108.4 | 106.9 | 6.2 | -1.5 | 6.1 | -1.4 | Of which: | | | | | | | | Short-term trade credit | 100.4 | 102.4 | 101.4 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | Total Debt | 529.3 | 543.1 | 558.5 | 13.8 | 15.4 | 2.6 | 2.8 | Memo Items: | | | | | | | | A. Long-term Debt (original maturity)@ | 427.1 | 434.7 | 451.7 | 7.6 | 17.0 | 1.8 | 3.9 | B. Short-term Debt (original maturity)# | 102.2 | 108.4 | 106.9 | 6.2 | -1.5 | 6.1 | -1.4 | R: Revised. PR: Partially Revised. P: Provisional. | @: Debt with original maturity of above one year. | #: Debt with original maturity of up to one year. | Table 2: Residual Maturity of External Debt Outstanding as at End-March 2020 | (US$ billion) | Component | Short-term up to one year** | Long-term | Total (2 to 5) | 1 to 2 years | 2 to 3 years | More than 3 years | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 1. Sovereign Debt (long-term)$ | 5.5 | 7.4 | 8.2 | 79.5 | 100.6 | 2. Commercial Borrowings# | 34.7 | 25.2 | 30.6 | 130.1 | 220.5 | 3. Non-resident deposits {(i)+(ii)+(iii)} | 89.7 | 21.3 | 11.0 | 8.7 | 130.6 | (i) FCNR(B) | 15.4 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 24.2 | (ii) NR(E)RA | 60.4 | 16.4 | 7.7 | 5.8 | 90.4 | (iii) NRO | 13.9 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 16.0 | 4. Short-term Debt* (original maturity) | 106.9 | | | | 106.9 | Total (1 to 4) | 236.7 | 53.9 | 49.7 | 218.2 | 558.5 | Memo Items: | | | | | | Short-term Debt (residual maturity) as per cent of Total External Debt | 42.4 | Short-term Debt (residual maturity) as per cent of Reserves | 49.5 | $: Inclusive of FPI investments in government securities. | #: Commercial Borrowings are inclusive of trade credit, FPI investments in corporate debt instruments and a portion of non-government multilateral and bilateral borrowings and therefore may not tally with the figures provided in other tables under original maturity. | *: Also includes FPI investments in security receipts issued by Asset Reconstruction Companies (ARCs) under the extant corporate debt limits. | **: Short-term debt by residual maturity comprises long-term debt by original maturity falling due over the next twelve months and short-term debt by original maturity. | Table 3: Government and Non-Government External Debt | (US$ billion) | Component | End-March | 2017 | 2018 R | 2019 PR | 2020 P | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | A. Sovereign Debt (I+II) | 95.9 | 111.9 | 103.8 | 100.9 | (As percentage of GDP) | 4.0 | 4.3 | 3.8 | 3.7 | I. External Debt on Government Account under External Assistance | 62.8 | 68.6 | 68.8 | 72.7 | II. Other Government External Debt@ | 33.1 | 43.4 | 35.0 | 28.1 | B. Non-Government Debt# | 375.1 | 417.3 | 439.3 | 457.7 | (As percentage of GDP) | 15.8 | 15.9 | 16.0 | 16.9 | C. Total External Debt (A+B) | 471.0 | 529.3 | 543.1 | 558.5 | (As percentage of GDP) | 19.8 | 20.1 | 19.8 | 20.6 | R: Revised. PR: Partially Revised. P: Provisional. | | | | | @: Other government external debt includes defence debt, investment in Treasury Bills/government securities by FPIs, foreign central banks and international institutions, and IMF. | #: Includes external debt of Monetary Authority. | Table 4: India’s Key External Debt Indicators | (Per cent, unless indicated otherwise) | End-March | External Debt (US$ billion) | Ratio of External Debt to GDP | Debt Service Ratio | Ratio of Foreign Exchange Reserves to Total Debt | Ratio of Concessional Debt to Total Debt | Ratio of Short-term Debt to Foreign Exchange Reserves | Ratio of Short-term Debt (original maturity) to Total Debt | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 1991 | 83.8 | 28.3 | 35.3 | 7.0 | 45.9 | 146.5 | 10.2 | 1996 | 93.7 | 26.6 | 26.2 | 23.1 | 44.7 | 23.2 | 5.4 | 2001 | 101.3 | 22.1 | 16.6 | 41.7 | 35.4 | 8.6 | 3.6 | 2006 | 139.1 | 17.1 | 10.1# | 109.0 | 28.4 | 12.9 | 14.0 | 2007 | 172.4 | 17.7 | 4.7 | 115.6 | 23.0 | 14.1 | 16.3 | 2008 | 224.4 | 18.3 | 4.8 | 138.0 | 19.7 | 14.8 | 20.4 | 2009 | 224.5 | 20.7 | 4.4 | 112.2 | 18.7 | 17.2 | 19.3 | 2010 | 260.9 | 18.5 | 5.8 | 106.9 | 16.8 | 18.8 | 20.1 | 2011 | 317.9 | 18.6 | 4.4 | 95.9 | 14.9 | 21.3 | 20.4 | 2012 | 360.8 | 21.1 | 6.0 | 81.6 | 13.3 | 26.6 | 21.7 | 2013 | 409.4 | 22.4 | 5.9 | 71.3 | 11.1 | 33.1 | 23.6 | 2014 | 446.2 | 23.9 | 5.9 | 68.2 | 10.4 | 30.1 | 20.5 | 2015 | 474.7 | 23.8 | 7.6 | 72.0 | 8.8 | 25.0 | 18.0 | 2016 | 484.8 | 23.4 | 8.8 | 74.3 | 9.0 | 23.2 | 17.2 | 2017 | 471.0 | 19.8 | 8.3 | 78.5 | 9.4 | 23.8 | 18.7 | 2018 R | 529.3 | 20.1 | 7.5 | 80.2 | 9.1 | 24.1 | 19.3 | 2019 PR | 543.1 | 19.8 | 6.4 | 76.0 | 8.7 | 26.3 | 20.0 | 2020 P | 558.5 | 20.6 | 6.5 | 85.5 | 8.6 | 22.4 | 19.1 | R: Revised. PR: Partially Revised. P: Provisional. | #: works out to 6.3 per cent with the exclusion of India Millennium Deposits (IMDs) repayments of US$ 7.1 billion and pre-payment of external debt of US$ 23.5 million. | (Yogesh Dayal) Chief General Manager Press Release: 2019-2020/2570 | |